Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State 11/8/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Louisiana-Monroe winning 42% of simulations, and Arkansas State 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Louisiana-Monroe commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 54% when they take care of the ball. Arkansas State wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Kolton Browning is averaging 288 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Ryan Aplin is averaging 280 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARKST -6
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